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COP31 in Antalya: what is being negotiated and what Latin American countries bring

COP31 opened on November 9 in Antalya, Türkiye, with Australia leading the negotiations. What is on the table until November 20, the 2035 targets of Brazil, Mexico and Argentina and how much Latin America emits.

· By , journalist

COP31 in Antalya: what is being negotiated and what Latin American countries bring

Photo: Joe Wallace, CC BY-SA 2.0, Wikimedia Commons

COP31, the UN climate change conference, opened on Monday, November 9 at the Antalya Expo center in Türkiye and will run until November 20, according to Daily Sabah. Türkiye presides over the summit through its environment minister, Murat Kurum, while Australia's climate and energy minister, Chris Bowen, leads the formal negotiations, under an agreement between the two countries announced by Australia's foreign minister.

Bowen said the conference has more than 160 agenda items and 60 negotiating mandates, and warned that the world is still on track to exceed the Paris Agreement's 1.5 °C threshold. For Latin America, which just handed over the COP30 presidency from Belém, the meeting comes with new 2035 targets and a region that emits 6.6% of the planet's greenhouse gases, according to the World Bank.

COP31 in figures
12Days of talksNovember 9 to 20
+160Agenda itemsAnd 60 negotiating mandates
100,000Expected attendeesAFP estimate
6.6% of worldLatin America's emissions2024, excluding land use
Source: Daily Sabah, Climate Diplomacy Brief and World Bank, total greenhouse gas emissions excluding land use (LULUCF), in Mt CO2 equivalent; accessed November 9, 2026.
View the data as a table
Days of talks12
Agenda items+160
Expected attendees100,000
Latin America's emissions6.6% of world

What is being negotiated at COP31

French diplomat Paul Watkinson described it as "a classic intermediate COP", without a single big mandate, according to Climate Diplomacy Brief. Kurum asked for an "Implementation COP" and summed up the Turkish presidency's principles as "dialogue, consensus, action." Bowen proposed a presidency decision, agreed by countries, focused on implementing what has already been agreed rather than a lengthy political declaration, according to Daily Sabah. Both said they would start negotiating the main text from day one instead of waiting for the second week.

IssueWhat is at stake
FinanceThe Baku goal (COP29): at least US$300 billion a year for developing countries by 2035 and scaling to US$1.3 trillion from all sources
AdaptationIndicators for the Global Goal on Adaptation and the plan to triple adaptation finance agreed in 2025
Just transitionThe just transition mechanism and the mitigation work programme
Fossil fuelsNational roadmaps to move away from fossil fuels: France, Germany and the Netherlands have submitted theirs, and Brazil its "global plan"
Electrification"35 by 35" initiative: electricity reaching 35% of final energy consumption by 2035
Global stocktakeHow the second global stocktake (GST2) in 2028 will work

Source: Daily Sabah and Climate Diplomacy Brief.

According to Climate Diplomacy Brief, at the start of the summit 38 countries had still not submitted their updated 2035 climate targets (nationally determined contributions, NDCs). The leaders' summit is scheduled for November 11 and 12, with Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva among those expected.

Plenary session at a UN climate conference
A UN climate negotiations plenary in Bonn. More than 190 countries take part in COP31. Photo: UNclimatechange from Bonn, Germany, CC BY 2.0, Wikimedia Commons.

Latin America at COP31: how much the region emits

Latin America and the Caribbean emitted 3,511 million tonnes of CO2 equivalent in 2024, excluding land use, or 6.6% of the world total of 53,206 million, according to the World Bank. Brazil, with 1,299 million, accounts for more than a third of the region, followed by Mexico (687) and Argentina (374). Chile emitted 118 million and Peru 104.

Greenhouse gas emissions in Latin America, 2024 (Mt CO2 eq.)
Source: World Bank, total greenhouse gas emissions excluding land use (LULUCF), in Mt CO2 equivalent; accessed November 9, 2026.
View the data as a table
Brazil1,299.2 · 2.44% of the world total
Mexico686.8 · 1.29% of the world total
Argentina374.3 · 0.70% of the world total
Colombia217.6 · 0.41% of the world total
Venezuela167.3 · 0.31% of the world total
Chile118.1 · 0.22% of the world total
Peru103.8 · 0.20% of the world total
Ecuador74.4 · 0.14% of the world total
Bolivia63.8 · 0.12% of the world total
Dominican Rep.51.6 · 0.10% of the world total
Uruguay44.6 · 0.08% of the world total
Guatemala43.5 · 0.08% of the world total
Paraguay41.4 · 0.08% of the world total
Cuba36.0 · 0.07% of the world total
Honduras24.4 · 0.05% of the world total
Panama19.2 · 0.04% of the world total
Nicaragua19.2 · 0.04% of the world total
Costa Rica17.1 · 0.03% of the world total
El Salvador14.8 · 0.03% of the world total
Greenhouse gas emissions by country, 2024 (Mt CO2 eq.)
14.830.060.0150.0400.0–1,299.2
Source: World Bank, total greenhouse gas emissions excluding land use (LULUCF), in Mt CO2 equivalent; accessed November 9, 2026.
View the data as a table
Brazil1,299.2
Mexico686.8
Argentina374.3
Colombia217.6
Venezuela167.3
Chile118.1
Peru103.8
Ecuador74.4
Bolivia63.8
Dominican Republic51.6
Uruguay44.6
Guatemala43.5
Paraguay41.4
Cuba36.0
Honduras24.4
Panama19.2
Nicaragua19.2
Costa Rica17.1
El Salvador14.8

The figure does not include deforestation or other land-use changes, which weigh heavily on the real balance in countries such as Brazil or Paraguay. Since 1990, the region's emissions have risen 72%, more than the world average (65%). For emissions per person, see the ranking of CO2 per capita in Latin America, and for forest cover, the forest ranking by country.

Emissions of Latin America's largest economies, 1990-2024 (Mt CO2 eq.)
BrazilMexicoArgentinaColombiaChilePeru
05001,0001,50019901995200020052010201520202024BrazilMexicoArgentinaColombiaChilePeru
Source: World Bank, total greenhouse gas emissions excluding land use (LULUCF), in Mt CO2 equivalent; accessed November 9, 2026.
View the data as a table
BrazilMexicoArgentinaColombiaChilePeru
19906494402531325543
19957904822691506751
20008705662881538157
20051,0016253291588860
20101,11066633717410276
20151,23368236618711787
20201,19664035420012680
20241,299687374218118104
Country19902024Change
Brazil6491,299+100%
Mexico440687+56%
Argentina253374+48%
Colombia132218+65%
Chile55118+116%
Peru43104+139%
Latin America and the Caribbean2,0443,511+72%

Source: World Bank, total greenhouse gas emissions excluding land use (LULUCF), in Mt CO2 equivalent; accessed November 9, 2026. Million tonnes of CO2 equivalent.

The 2035 targets the region brings to COP31

NDCs are the plans each country submits to the UN. Brazil was among the first to present its 2035 target, at COP29: cutting net emissions by 59% to 67% from 2005 levels, a goal Climate Action Tracker does not consider 1.5 °C-aligned. Mexico presented its NDC 3.0 at COP30, with its first absolute target: 364 to 404 Mt CO2 equivalent in 2035 without international support, and 332 to 363 Mt with financing, according to Vanguardia. Argentina set a ceiling of 375 net Mt for both 2030 and 2035, according to Futuro Sustentable.

Country2035 targetType of target
Brazil−59% to −67% net emissions vs. 2005Relative to a base year
Mexico364-404 Mt (unsupported) or 332-363 Mt (supported)Absolute, for the first time
ArgentinaMaximum of 375 net MtAbsolute ceiling, same for 2030 and 2035

Sources: Climate Action Tracker, Vanguardia and Futuro Sustentable. Chile submitted its NDC 3.0 for 2025-2035, which includes an ocean component. Mexico's 2024 World Bank figure (687 Mt, excluding land use) is not directly comparable with its target, which uses the national inventory.

Wind farm next to a highway in northern Chile
Renewable energy is part of the region's climate plans. Photo: Gonnzalo2010, Public domain, Wikimedia Commons.

From Buenos Aires to Belém: Latin America's COPs

The region has hosted or presided over several of these summits. The most recent was COP30 in Belém, in the Brazilian Amazon, in November 2025; Chile presided over COP25 in 2019, which was moved to Madrid after the social unrest. For each country's electricity mix, see the renewable energy ranking for Latin America.

COPs hosted or presided over by Latin America
  1. 1998COP4, Buenos Aires
  2. 2004COP10, Buenos Aires
  3. 2010COP16, Cancún (Mexico)
  4. 2014COP20, Lima (Peru)
  5. 2019COP25, presided over by ChileHeld in Madrid.
  6. 2025COP30, Belém (Brazil)
  7. 2026COP31, Antalya (Türkiye)November 9 to 20.
Source: UNFCCC and Daily Sabah.

Frequently asked questions

When and where is COP31?

November 9 to 20, 2026, in Antalya, Türkiye. The leaders' summit is on November 11 and 12.

Who presides over COP31?

Türkiye, through its environment minister, Murat Kurum. Australia, with minister Chris Bowen, leads the formal negotiations.

How much does Latin America emit?

3,511 million tonnes of CO2 equivalent in 2024, excluding land use, or 6.6% of the world total, according to the World Bank.

What is an NDC?

The nationally determined contribution: the plan through which each country commits to cutting emissions under the Paris Agreement. The current round sets 2035 targets.