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Cadem poll: Kast's approval falls to 30%, his lowest since March

Cadem's Plaza Pública poll No. 698 shows José Antonio Kast at 30% approval and 65% disapproval. 17 of 18 ministers lose ground and 55% back the highway toll cut. The full series since March.

· By , journalist

Cadem poll: Kast's approval falls to 30%, his lowest since March

Photo: Rjcastillo, CC BY-SA 4.0, Wikimedia Commons

Kast's approval fell to 30% in the third week of October, two points below the previous reading and his lowest since he took office on March 11, 2026, according to [Cadem's Plaza Pública poll No. 698](https://cadem.cl/estudios/caida-generalizada-en-el-gabinete-17-de-los-18-ministros-con-mas-de-40-de-conocimiento-retroceden-en-aprobacion/). Disapproval rose to 65%. In March, the president had started with 57% approval.

The survey, conducted on Friday, October 16, also shows an almost across-the-board decline in the cabinet: 17 of the 18 ministers known by more than 40% of respondents lost ground. Here are the figures, the series since March and what respondents said about pardons and highway tolls.

How Kast's approval has changed since March

Cadem publishes its poll every week. These are the readings with published figures that show the trend:

ReadingApproveDisapproveSource
March 15, 2026 (first week)57%34%Meganoticias
March 29 (after the fuel price rise)43%n/aEmol
July 537%60%Emol
October 4 (No. 695)32%63%Cadem
October 18 (No. 698)30%65%Cadem
Bar chart of José Antonio Kast's approval and disapproval in the Cadem poll between March and October 2026
Kast's approval and disapproval in five Cadem readings. Chart: Vivarae News with data from Cadem, Meganoticias and Emol.

In seven months, Kast's approval fell 27 points and disapproval almost doubled. According to Meganoticias, the 57% in March was the best start for a president in this poll since 2010. The first sharp drop came in late March, after the fuel price increase, and the downward trend continued, with ups and downs, through the winter.

Kast's approval and the national mood

The general mood also worsened. According to the full report, 69% think the country is on the wrong track and 68% are pessimistic about Chile's future, the worst levels since March. The economy weighs heavily: the IMF cut its 2026 growth forecast to 0.6% (see the IMF downgrade), and Congress is debating the 2027 budget.

The best and worst rated ministers

The decline reached almost the entire cabinet. These are the ministers whose approval Cadem reported, with the change from September:

MinisterApprovalChange
May Chomali55%-4
Iván Poduje (Housing)53%-5
Catalina Parot50%-6
Fernando Barros42%-8
Louis de Grange (Transport)40%-14
Daniel Mas (Economy)40%-8
Claudio Alvarado37%-9
Jorge Quiroz (Finance)31%-6
Tomás Rau30%-8

Louis de Grange had the biggest drop (-14 points), despite announcing the toll cut on the Autopista Central highway. Finance Minister Jorge Quiroz is among the lowest rated along with Tomás Rau, but 61% consider him the most influential minister. Also, 64% think the government should again have a minister spokesperson.

Facade of La Moneda Palace with gardens in the foreground
La Moneda Palace, seat of the government. Photo: Miguel hernandez, CC BY-SA 2.0, Wikimedia Commons.

Pardons and tolls: Cadem's other questions

QuestionResult
Abolish the presidential power to pardon60% agree; 33% prefer to keep it
Terminally ill convicts serving sentences at home59% disagree
Pardons for people over 80 or ill convicted of human rights violations64% disagree
Pardons for former police or soldiers convicted over the 2019 unrest55% disagree
Deal to cut Autopista Central tolls by 10% to 25%83% aware; 55% agree
Extending similar deals to Costanera Norte and Vespucio56% agree

The toll cut, announced by the president on October 12, lowers the rate 10% off-peak and 25% at peak and saturation times in exchange for extending the Autopista Central concession by 20 months, according to Emol and BioBioChile. It still needs an administrative review and a contract amendment. Among Metropolitan Region residents, 58% think it will benefit them or their family.

Plaza de la Constitución with La Moneda Palace and civic district buildings
Plaza de la Constitución, in front of La Moneda. Photo: Cuidro, CC BY-SA 4.0, Wikimedia Commons.

The effect of the president's national address

Two weeks earlier, poll No. 695 measured reaction to the national address in which the president presented his economic plan. According to Cadem, 67% watched it or followed it, but among those who did, negative ratings prevailed:

National address (Cadem No. 695)Result
Watched or followed it67%
Rated it well31%
Rated it badly or very badly49%
Most important measure: US$9.5 billion for growth, jobs and reconstruction26%
Agree with the phrase "never spend what you don't have"57%
Personal priority: create jobs and grow the economy42%

Jobs remain the main economic concern: national unemployment was 9.6% in the June-August quarter, according to the INE. That agenda, along with security, will be key to whether Kast's approval stabilizes or keeps falling in the coming weeks. In October, the president also made his state visit to Bolivia.

How Cadem poll No. 698 was conducted

MethodologyDetail
TechniqueOnline survey (Cadem Online platform)
Sample1,007 cases in 164 municipalities across all 16 regions
FieldworkFriday, October 16, 2026
SamplingNon-probability, with quotas by age, area and socioeconomic level
WeightingGender, age, area, socioeconomic level and vote in the 2025 runoff

Because the sample is not probabilistic, Cadem does not report a classic margin of error. That is why it is better to read the trend over several weeks than a one- or two-point move. For another recent question from the same poll, see the reading on Bachelet and Boric as candidates of the left.

Frequently asked questions

What is Kast's approval according to Cadem?

30% approval and 65% disapproval in Plaza Pública poll No. 698, conducted on October 16, 2026.

Is it Kast's lowest approval?

Yes. Cadem says it is his lowest since the government began in March 2026, when he started at 57%.

Which minister is best rated?

May Chomali, with 55%, followed by Iván Poduje (53%) and Catalina Parot (50%).

What do Chileans think of the toll cut?

55% agree with the Autopista Central deal and 56% support extending it to Costanera Norte and Vespucio.